Charlton Athletic
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 30, 2021 at 7pm UK
Villa Park

Charlton
2 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Burstow (15'), Stockley (43' pen.)
Morgan (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Thorndike (40')
Philogene-Bidace (88')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Charlton Athletic and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 84.04%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 5.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.09%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawAston Villa Under-21s
84.04%10.78%5.18%
Both teams to score 45.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.33%29.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.19%50.81%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.97%5.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.93%20.07%
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.53%52.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.69%86.31%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 84.03%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 5.18%
    Draw 10.78%
Charlton AthleticDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.8%
3-0 @ 11.76%
4-0 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 7.89%
2-1 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 7.59%
4-1 @ 5.68%
5-0 @ 5.27%
5-1 @ 3.4%
6-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.83%
6-1 @ 1.69%
7-0 @ 1.12%
5-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 84.03%
1-1 @ 5.09%
0-0 @ 2.64%
2-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 10.78%
0-1 @ 1.7%
1-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 5.18%

How you voted: Aston Villa U21s vs Charlton

Aston Villa Under-21s
36.4%
Draw
36.4%
Charlton Athletic
27.3%
11
rhs 2.0


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