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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 44.91% | 24.63% | 30.46% |
| Both teams to score 57.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% | 45.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% | 67.94% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% | 20.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.17% | 52.83% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% | 28.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% | 63.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.91% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-1 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.46% |