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FA Cup

Rochdale
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 5, 2021 at 12.15pm UK
Spotland
Plymouth Argyle

Rochdale
1 - 2
Plymouth

Morley (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garrick (17'), Jephcott (86')
Wilson (37'), Law (64'), Houghton (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Rochdale and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawPlymouth Argyle
44.26%25.69%30.06%
Both teams to score 53.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65%50.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7%72.29%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32%22.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66%56.33%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16%30.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88%67.12%
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 44.25%
    Plymouth Argyle 30.06%
    Draw 25.68%
RochdaleDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.06%