Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.