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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Stevenage |
| 48.59% | 27.13% | 24.28% |
| Both teams to score 45.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.86% | 59.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.42% | 79.58% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% | 24.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.71% | 40.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.09% | 76.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% 2-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.59% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.33% Total : 24.28% |