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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Colchester United |
| 30.51% | 29.2% | 40.29% |
| Both teams to score 43.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.87% | 63.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.44% | 82.56% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% | 37.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% | 74.04% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% | 30.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% | 66.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.77% Total : 30.5% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.19% | 0-1 @ 13.5% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-3 @ 3.14% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 0.93% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.33% Total : 40.28% |