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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 28.46% | 28.18% | 43.36% |
| Both teams to score 45.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.56% | 60.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.43% | 80.57% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% | 37.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% | 74.18% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% | 27.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% | 63.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.45% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 13.29% 0-2 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-3 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.18% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.77% Total : 43.36% |