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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Sutton United |
28.46% | 28.18% | 43.36% |
Both teams to score 45.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.56% | 60.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.43% | 80.57% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% | 37.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% | 74.18% |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% | 27.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% | 63.22% |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.45% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 13.29% 0-2 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-3 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.18% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.77% Total : 43.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |