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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
| 32.24% | 28.04% | 39.72% |
| Both teams to score 47.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.21% | 58.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.69% | 79.3% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% | 33.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% | 70.3% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% | 64.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 12.07% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.66% Total : 39.72% |