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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Salford City |
| 28.48% | 28.09% | 43.43% |
| Both teams to score 45.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.88% | 60.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.67% | 80.32% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% | 37.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.02% | 73.98% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% | 27.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% | 62.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.76% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 13.2% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-3 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.19% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.81% Total : 43.42% |