Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gillingham in this match.