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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 35.46% | 28.13% | 36.41% |
| Both teams to score 47.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.25% | 58.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.73% | 79.28% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% | 31.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% | 67.84% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% | 30.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% | 67.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.45% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.4% |