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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 35.72%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 35.72% | 28.66% | 35.62% |
| Both teams to score 45.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.35% | 60.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.27% | 80.73% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% | 32.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% | 68.76% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% | 32.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% | 68.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.61% |