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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Colchester United |
| 29.72% | 28.88% | 41.39% |
| Both teams to score 44.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.69% | 62.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.03% | 81.97% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% | 37.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.8% | 74.2% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% | 29.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% | 65.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 6.52% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.74% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 13.48% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-3 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.01% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.46% Total : 41.39% |