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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 39.42% | 29.41% | 31.17% |
| Both teams to score 43.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.36% | 63.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.07% | 82.93% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% | 31.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.13% | 67.87% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% | 37.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% | 73.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% 2-0 @ 7.79% 2-1 @ 7.74% 3-0 @ 3% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.96% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.81% Total : 31.17% |