Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Port Vale |
38.72% | 28.98% | 32.3% |
Both teams to score 44.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.97% | 62.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.24% | 81.76% |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% | 31.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% | 67.4% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% | 35.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% | 72.08% |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.05% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
8 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 67 | 65 | 2 | 67 |
9 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 63 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |