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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 32.69% | 27.54% | 39.77% |
| Both teams to score 48.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.13% | 56.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.21% | 77.79% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% | 32.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% | 68.85% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% | 27.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% | 63.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.77% |