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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 27.26% | 27% | 45.74% |
| Both teams to score 47.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.14% | 56.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.21% | 77.79% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% | 36.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% | 73.2% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% | 24.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% | 59.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.87% Total : 27.26% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.03% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 12.59% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.73% |