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FA Cup

Rochdale
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 7, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Notts County

Rochdale
1 - 1
Notts County

O'Keeffe (45')
O'Keeffe (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wootton (62')
Kelly-Evans (3'), Cameron (85')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Rochdale and Notts County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawNotts County
37.31%24.38%38.32%
Both teams to score 60.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.31%42.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91%65.1%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24%22.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56%56.45%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76%22.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32%55.68%
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 37.31%
    Notts County 38.32%
    Draw 24.37%
RochdaleDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.34%
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.31%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-1 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.32%

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