Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Stockport County |
| 38.95% | 25.31% | 35.74% |
| Both teams to score 56.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.82% | 47.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.59% | 69.41% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% | 23.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% | 58.13% |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% | 25.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% | 60.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.95% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.74% |