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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 40.17% | 27.63% | 32.21% |
| Both teams to score 48.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.72% | 57.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.88% | 78.12% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% | 27.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% | 63.53% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% | 32.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% | 69.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.2% |