Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Notts County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 33.92% | 26.42% | 39.66% |
| Both teams to score 52.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% | 52.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% | 73.93% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% | 29.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.87% | 65.13% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% | 25.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% | 60.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.65% |