National League | Gameweek 10

Oct 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Altrincham
2 - 3
Grimsby Town

Mooney (65'), Moult (75')
Mullarkey (22'), Pringle (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bapaga (27'), Taylor (48'), Clifton (55')
Bapaga (43'), McKeown (74')
Bapaga (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Grimsby Town
22.4%	23.64%	53.95%

Both teams to score 53.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.46%

47.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.25%

69.74%

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44%

35.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67%

72.32%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46%

17.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.94%

48.05%

Score Analysis

Altrincham 22.4%

Grimsby Town 53.95%

Draw 23.64%

Altrincham	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 6.45% 2-1 @ 5.8% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.93% Total : 22.4%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-2 @ 9.45% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-3 @ 5.48% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.66% Total : 53.95%