Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Notts County |
| 19.57% | 22.09% | 58.34% |
| Both teams to score 53.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% | 44.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% | 66.77% |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% | 36.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% | 73.37% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% | 14.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.71% | 43.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 5.49% 2-1 @ 5.25% 2-0 @ 2.76% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.57% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 5.45% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-2 @ 9.88% 1-3 @ 6.3% 0-3 @ 6.27% 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 3% 0-4 @ 2.98% 2-4 @ 1.51% 1-5 @ 1.14% 0-5 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.34% |