National League | Gameweek 4

Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane

Notts County
3 - 2
Aldershot

Wootton (38'), Cameron (52'), Roberts (64')
Kelly-Evans (31'), Roberts (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Andrews (44', 50')

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Aldershot Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Aldershot Town
46.59%	24.27%	29.14%

Both teams to score 57.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31%

44.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95%

67.06%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69%

19.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.93%

51.07%

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39%

28.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.59%

64.41%

Score Analysis

Notts County 46.59%

Aldershot Town 29.14%

Draw 24.27%

Notts County	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.16% Total : 46.59%	1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 7.12% 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.14%