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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Exeter City |
| 35.55% | 25.87% | 38.58% |
| Both teams to score 54.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% | 49.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% | 71.67% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% | 26.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% | 62.28% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% | 25.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% | 59.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.58% |