League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Sunderland2 - 1Plymouth
We said: Sunderland 1-1 Plymouth Argyle
With only two points separating the sides in the table, this is likely to be a closely-fought contest, and although Sunderland are formidable at home, we think that Plymouth may snatch a point from the encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 62.97% | 21.35% | 15.68% |
| Both teams to score 48.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
