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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 62.97% | 21.35% | 15.68% |
| Both teams to score 48.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% | 47.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.25% | 69.75% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% | 14.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.54% | 42.46% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.94% | 43.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.66% | 79.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% 2-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 6.32% 4-0 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.66% 5-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.45% Total : 62.96% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.25% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.58% Total : 15.68% |