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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 22.7% | 24.16% | 53.14% |
| Both teams to score 51.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% | 49.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% | 71.42% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.91% | 73.09% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% | 18.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% | 49.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 6.81% 2-1 @ 5.82% 2-0 @ 3.45% 3-1 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.82% Total : 22.7% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 9.56% 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-3 @ 5.37% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.13% |