Cambridge United
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Northampton Town

Cambridge
3 - 1
Northampton

Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Cambridge United and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
31.19%26.96%41.85%
Both teams to score 50.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.98%55.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71%76.29%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57%32.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05%68.95%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05%25.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05%60.95%
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 31.19%
    Northampton Town 41.85%
    Draw 26.95%
Cambridge UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 9.48%
2-1 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 11.35%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-2 @ 7.66%
1-3 @ 3.88%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 41.85%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Northampton

Cambridge United
57.6%
Draw
24.2%
Northampton Town
18.2%
33
rhs 2.0


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