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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 34.85% | 26.13% | 39.02% |
| Both teams to score 53.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% | 50.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% | 72.74% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% | 27.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% | 63.57% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% | 25.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% | 60.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 5.8% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.74% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.02% |