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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Oxford United |
| 45.98% | 25.82% | 28.19% |
| Both teams to score 51.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% | 51.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% | 73.6% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% | 22.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% | 56.08% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% | 32.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% | 69.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.2% |