FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 7, 2021 at 1pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Oxford United and Bristol Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
53.94%	22.78%	23.28%

Both teams to score 57.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.16%

42.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.75%

65.24%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.16%

15.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.97%

45.02%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83%

32.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34%

68.65%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 53.94%

Bristol Rovers 23.28%

Draw 22.78%

Oxford United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 6.03% 3-0 @ 5.31% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.78% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.6% Total : 53.94%	1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.78%	1-2 @ 6.04% 0-1 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.55% Total : 23.28%