Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Al-Hilal win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.