AFC Champions League | Round of 16
Sep 13, 2021 at 6pm UK
Azadi Stadium

Esteghlal
0 - 2
Al-Hilal


Hossein Moradmand (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gomis (39'), Al-Dawsari (56')
Al-Dawsari (42')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Esteghlal and Al-Hilal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Esteghlal had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Esteghlal win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
EsteghlalDrawAl-Hilal
31.13%27.5%41.38%
Both teams to score 48.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.91%57.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03%77.96%
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45%33.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8%70.2%
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84%27.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44%62.56%
Score Analysis
    Esteghlal 31.13%
    Al-Hilal 41.37%
    Draw 27.5%
EsteghlalDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.13%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.87%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.74%
1-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.37%