Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (7.69%).