Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.