Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 57.61% | 25.64% | 16.75% |
| Both teams to score 39.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.56% | 61.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.68% | 81.32% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% | 21.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% | 54.54% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.02% | 49.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.36% | 84.64% |
| Score Analysis |
Ceara 57.6%
Sport Recife 16.75%
Draw 25.63%
| Ceara | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 16.51% 2-0 @ 12.69% 2-1 @ 8.81% 3-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 4.51% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.78% Total : 57.6% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 3.05% Other @ 0.39% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 2.58% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.83% Total : 16.75% |
How you voted: Ceara vs Sport
Ceara
75.0%Draw
25.0%Sport Recife
0.0%12


