Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 76.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 7.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 3-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.