Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Flamengo |
| 29.51% | 25.48% | 45.01% |
| Both teams to score 53.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% | 49.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% | 71.76% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% | 30.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% | 67.22% |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% | 22.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% | 55.43% |
| Score Analysis |
Gremio 29.51%
Flamengo 45.01%
Draw 25.47%
| Gremio | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.51% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.01% |
How you voted: Gremio vs Flamengo
Gremio
20.0%Draw
14.3%Flamengo
65.7%35


