Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Flamengo |
| 28.59% | 26.34% | 45.07% |
| Both teams to score 50.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% | 53.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% | 75.17% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% | 33.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% | 70.3% |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% | 23.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% | 57.87% |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 28.59%
Flamengo 45.06%
Draw 26.34%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 8.26% 1-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.73% Total : 45.06% |
How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Flamengo
Sao Paulo
17.9%Draw
14.3%Flamengo
67.9%28


