Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 37.5% | 27.43% | 35.06% |
| Both teams to score 49.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% | 56.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% | 77.18% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% | 64.76% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% | 30.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.42% | 66.58% |
| Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 37.51%
Palmeiras 35.06%
Draw 27.42%
| Fortaleza | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.06% |
How you voted: Fortaleza vs Palmeiras
Fortaleza
28.6%Draw
14.3%Palmeiras
57.1%7


