Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 36.44% | 28.74% | 34.81% |
| Both teams to score 45.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.04% | 60.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.03% | 80.96% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% | 31.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% | 68.41% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% | 33.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.39% | 69.61% |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 36.44%
Palmeiras 34.81%
Draw 28.74%
| Santos | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.44% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.81% |


