Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 42.77% | 28.07% | 29.16% |
| Both teams to score 45.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.23% | 59.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.94% | 80.06% |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% | 27.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% | 63.22% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% | 36.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.74% | 73.26% |
| Score Analysis |
America Mineiro 42.77%
Fortaleza 29.15%
Draw 28.05%
| America Mineiro | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.15% |
How you voted: America Mineiro vs Fortaleza
America Mineiro
16.7%Draw
33.3%Fortaleza
50.0%6


