Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 44.7% | 28.35% | 26.95% |
| Both teams to score 43.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.34% | 61.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.51% | 81.48% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% | 63.05% |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.67% | 39.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.97% | 76.02% |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 44.69%
America Mineiro 26.94%
Draw 28.34%
| Santos | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 13.96% 2-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 8.4% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.74% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.94% |
How you voted: Santos vs America Mineiro
Santos
42.9%Draw
57.1%America Mineiro
0.0%7


