Chapecoense
1 - 2
Fortaleza

Rodriguinho (42')
Ignacio (40'), Jordan (60'), Geuvanio (76'), (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Brunao (6' og.), Pikachu (90+3' pen.)
Pikachu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Chapecoense and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 42.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 28.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-0 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Chapecoense	Draw	Fortaleza
28.51%	28.74%	42.76%

Both teams to score 43.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.75%

62.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.08%

81.92%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.65%

38.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.89%

75.11%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14%

28.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27%

64.73%

Score Analysis

Chapecoense 28.5%

Fortaleza 42.75%

Draw 28.74%

Chapecoense	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 6.32% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.6% Total : 28.5%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.74%	0-1 @ 13.75% 0-2 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-3 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.75%