Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Oct 23, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Castelao
Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza
3 - 0
Athletico PR

Lima (1'), Pikachu (7'), Robson (61')
Robson (73'), Ederson (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Canesin (32'), Christian (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawAthletico Paranaense
47.5%28.66%23.83%
Both teams to score 40.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.69%64.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.59%83.41%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64%27.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18%62.82%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31%43.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.13%79.87%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 47.5%
    Athletico Paranaense 23.83%
    Draw 28.65%
FortalezaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 15.49%
2-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 8.31%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 11.95%
2-2 @ 3.44%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 28.65%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.83%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Athletico PR

Fortaleza
30.8%
Draw
46.2%
Athletico Paranaense
23.1%
13
rhs 2.0


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