Fortaleza
1 - 0
Gremio

Pikachu (79')
Robson (45+3'), Felipe (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruan (81'), Everton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Gremio
40.4%	28%	31.6%

Both teams to score 47.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.21%

58.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.69%

79.31%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49%

28.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72%

64.28%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89%

34.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2%

70.8%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 40.4%

Gremio 31.59%

Draw 28%

Fortaleza	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.71% Total : 40.4%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.59%