Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 31
Nov 11, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
Sao Paulo

Fortaleza
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Robson (59')
Robson (39'), Paulista (90+1'), Jussa (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benitez (90+3')
Sara (33'), Nestor (58'), Benitez (79'), Welington (86'), Eder (86'), Luciano (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
39.24%27.12%33.64%
Both teams to score 50.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91%55.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65%76.34%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6%27.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13%62.87%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2%30.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93%67.07%
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 39.23%
    Sao Paulo 33.64%
    Draw 27.12%
FortalezaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 5.85%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.64%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo

Fortaleza
56.3%
Draw
37.5%
Sao Paulo
6.3%
16
rhs 2.0


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