Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 40.92% | 27.92% | 31.16% |
| Both teams to score 47.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.4% | 58.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.84% | 79.16% |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% | 28.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% | 34.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% | 71.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Bragantino 40.92%
Fortaleza 31.16%
Draw 27.91%
| Bragantino | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.27% Total : 31.16% |
How you voted: Bragantino vs Fortaleza
Bragantino
76.2%Draw
9.5%Fortaleza
14.3%21


