| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
| 20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Watford |
| 58.35% | 23.61% | 18.04% |
| Both teams to score 46.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% | 52.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% | 74.43% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% | 17.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.38% | 48.62% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.78% | 43.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.52% | 79.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 13.29% 2-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.35% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.04% |