Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.