Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 25

Feb 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 1
Liverpool

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fabinho (40')
Henderson (27')

Reaction

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp celebrates after the match on February 13, 2022

Jurgen Klopp pleased with "perfect afternoon" as Liverpool beat Burnley

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp describes his side's 1-0 win over Burnley at Turf Moor as "a perfect afternoon".

Feb 13, 16:47

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Liverpool
15.13%	20.47%	64.4%

Both teams to score 50.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.17%

44.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.81%

67.19%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.85%

42.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.43%

78.57%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.82%

13.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.1%

39.9%

Score Analysis

Burnley 15.13%

Liverpool 64.39%

Draw 20.47%

Burnley	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 4.8% 2-1 @ 4.2% 2-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.23% 3-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.13%	1-1 @ 9.73% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.47%	0-2 @ 11.4% 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 6.66% 0-4 @ 3.9% 1-4 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-5 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.96% Total : 64.39%